Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips From Bay Hill

We are in Florida this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Bay Hill - an excellent venue. The field is weaker than I expected it to be to be fair and we could see an off the radar winner. My odds chart with rankings, ratings (estimated fair odds) and some course fit numbers for the Arnold Palmer Invitational is below..

If you haven't heard yet, I've been finally working on putting my book on golf betting together after 10 years of Nicspicks, getting stuck in over the last year or so. I've really been enjoying writing it and I'm covering all areas of the game and the golf betting markets. I hope to have it ready to order by April so if interested keep an eye out.

As always you can get my weekly PGA and European Tour selections direct by email through the members mailing list - click here. It doesn't take a lot to join up.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds Chart

Arnold Palmer Invitational Bay Hill course information

(Click the model screenshot to use the interactive version)

Viktor Hovland's Bay Hill course fit rating

The course fit profiling model image above shows Viktor Hovland's course fit rating for Bay Hill and the premiums and key metrics this week for the Bay Hill course in question. The weekly course fit numbers and various course key metrics can be attained every week via my course fit profiling manual   shown below

Scroll down for the Arnold Palmer Invitational course profile from the manual
Nicspicks eBook - click image for details

Course info and key features for Bay Hill from my course fit manual eBook
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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