True Thailand Classic Pick: Johan Edfors win only, top 10

True Thailand Classic Pick: Johan Edfors win only 100/1, top 10 (TBC)

Current form: mc, mc, 35, 44, mc, 1; Course form: 17, 1, 30, 1,

Key stats - driving distance: 300.88 yards

He said: (pre Kings Cup) “It’s definitely a great way to start the week having won the par-three contest. I hit some really nice shots out there despite the strong winds.

Rikard Karlberg tweeted a pic of his new home on the course here but it's compatriot and friend Edfors who has a real affinity with Black Mountain GC. Edfors had spent more time in his on course Villa than in Sweden over the last few years. Winner of the Black Mountain Masters in 2009 (-17), Edfors also has an under the radar win in the 2013 pro-am Black Mountain Invitational here (67-70-69). As per the quote above, he won the par three contest here before the Asian Tour's Kings Cup at the start of 2014 in which he finished 17th. Only a disastrous 77 in round 3 in high winds scuppered his chances of another victory. Back in the winners circle at the ShangKai Classic late in 2014.


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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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