3 Irish Open - Go with the locals


This week the European Tour heads to my own home land and to a links course of the highest standard in Baltray Co. Louth. Experience on this type of course will obviously be a big advantage. The Irish firms are going an extra place 1-6.

0.5pts E/W places 1-6 Graeme McDowell @ 30/1 (boylesports) Top Talent very much at home on links courses. Good finish here a few years back.

0.75pts E/W Oliver Wilson @ 50/1 1/4 odds places 1-6 (boylesports)Wilson will win very soon and that's a great price on a type of course he should be used to hailing from the British Isles.

0.5pts E/W Peter Lawrie places 1-6 @ 55/1 (boylesports)Again, used to this type of set up, great showing last 2 weeks on tour and may be up there challenging again in an event he'd love to win being Irish

1pt Michael McGeady top 20 finish @ 12/1 (skybet) again home advantage and the events he's played on tour this year, he's done well

0.5pts E/W Paul McGinley @ 50/1 (paddypower,boylesports)I'm not usually a McGinley backer as his putting is not usually good enough to turn a place into a win but with the flat stick showing signs of improvement recently and putting not being a premium on this course, and also the fact that he is a former member of this course, 50/1 is good value and a much better bet than the 2 favs - McIlroy and Harraington at their respective prices.

Tournament match betting

-2pts Paul mcGinley win vs John Daly @ 10/11 (betdaq) unlikely Daly will have the temperament or the driving ability(accuracy) to deal with this course
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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